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Tag: 2021โ€“22 season

Best performers in January

Posted on 2022-01-23 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Best performers in January

Who is in top shape going into the Winter Olympics which start in less than two weeks? A lot of favorites skipped some races recently, still the January results probably give a better indication of current form than the races in December.


Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.


Men

2021โ€“22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
1LoginovAlexandrRUS
59.439.8-1.43-1.00-0.72-1.22
2LaegreidSturla HolmNOR
43.844.8-1.51-0.80-0.40-1.17
3BoeJohannes ThingnesNOR
413.832.5-1.83-0.07-0.58-1.17
4BoeTarjeiNOR
46.341.5-1.78-0.36-0.01-1.16
5Fillon MailletQuentinFRA
66.744.5-1.44-0.67-0.93-1.16
6DollBenediktGER
613.233.7-1.40-0.77-0.79-1.14
7SamuelssonSebastianSWE
410.335.0-1.27-1.04-0.48-1.11
8LesserErikGER
48.834.0-1.04-1.04-1.09-1.04
9TsvetkovMaksimRUS
423.516.2-1.10-1.040.10-0.94
10SerokhvostovDaniilRUS
414.821.2-1.13-0.70-0.32-0.91
11DesthieuxSimonFRA
616.726.8-1.02-0.87-0.43-0.90
12ClaudeFabienFRA
617.324.2-1.14-0.36-1.00-0.90
13JacquelinEmilienFRA
520.426.0-0.91-0.62-1.31-0.87
14KhaliliSaid KarimullaRUS
526.617.2-0.96-1.00-0.14-0.87
15BabikovAntonRUS
519.632.0-0.77-1.12-0.59-0.85
16HoferLukasITA
421.020.5-1.07-0.36-0.52-0.80
17BakkenSivert GuttormNOR
421.021.0-1.15-0.07-0.74-0.79
18SeppalaTeroFIN
619.023.2-0.91-0.67-0.45-0.78
19EderSimonAUT
521.618.5-0.44-1.12-1.47-0.76
20NawrathPhilippGER
433.010.5-1.28-0.020.07-0.75
21LeitnerFelixAUT
429.813.5-0.92-0.51-0.47-0.74
22SmolskiAntonBLR
620.324.8-1.04-0.360.08-0.71
23ReesRomanGER
515.027.4-0.71-0.74-0.58-0.70
24PonsiluomaMartinSWE
431.014.0-1.110.32-0.81-0.66
25ChristiansenVetle SjaastadNOR
419.321.8-0.94-0.07-0.31-0.61
26ClaudeFlorentBEL
622.219.5-0.52-1.070.31-0.58
27KrcmarMichalCZE
628.513.8-0.55-0.77-0.11-0.56
28HiidensaloOlliFIN
530.211.3-0.52-0.74-0.24-0.55
29BormoliniThomasITA
622.217.7-0.64-0.46-0.23-0.54
30GuigonnatAntoninFRA
541.012.0-0.73-0.11-0.63-0.54
31StroliaVytautasLTU
521.220.8-0.52-0.49-0.34-0.49
32VaclavikAdamCZE
539.25.8-0.850.15-0.16-0.48
33PidruchnyiDmytroUKR
432.310.0-0.770.49-1.15-0.45
34BurkhalterJoschaSUI
427.313.80.02-0.87-1.75-0.45
35IlievVladimirBUL
541.87.4-0.800.020.14-0.45
36PovarnitsynAlexanderRUS
537.03.2-0.34-0.53-0.78-0.45
37GiacomelTommasoITA
443.84.5-0.910.66-0.70-0.43
38WindischDominikITA
537.411.0-0.840.53-0.57-0.41
39TsymbalBogdanUKR
533.412.8-0.26-0.74-0.33-0.41
40FakJakovSLO
537.811.8-0.11-0.87-0.63-0.39

Women

2021โ€“22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
1RoeiselandMarte OlsbuNOR
41.358.5-1.36-1.35-1.94-1.43
2OebergHannaSWE
46.341.0-1.45-0.73-1.99-1.31
3SimonJuliaFRA
68.239.0-1.30-0.61-2.10-1.20
4OebergElviraSWE
46.344.0-1.52-0.73-0.71-1.19
5AlimbekavaDzinaraBLR
64.343.7-1.37-0.79-1.26-1.19
6WiererDorotheaITA
66.840.2-1.14-0.51-2.29-1.10
7BrorssonMonaSWE
511.032.0-1.39-0.54-0.55-1.04
8Braisaz-BouchetJustineFRA
614.031.7-1.760.14-0.30-1.03
9Chevalier-BouchetAnaisFRA
58.835.6-0.94-0.89-1.50-0.99
10DavidovaMarketaCZE
613.528.2-1.23-0.51-0.24-0.90
11SolaHannaBLR
523.016.7-1.420.51-1.65-0.89
12TandrevoldIngrid LandmarkNOR
48.533.8-1.26-0.22-0.11-0.82
13ReztsovaKristinaRUS
516.226.4-1.370.39-0.98-0.81
14HauserLisa TheresaAUT
613.027.7-0.83-0.33-1.71-0.79
15PerssonLinnSWE
426.318.8-1.11-0.11-0.70-0.77
16NigmatullinaUlianaRUS
534.816.2-0.76-0.77-0.46-0.72
17Hojnisz-StaregaMonikaPOL
428.014.5-0.73-0.73-0.65-0.72
18ChevalierChloeFRA
618.522.5-0.95-0.42-0.11-0.69
19VoigtVanessaGER
517.623.8-0.56-1.240.07-0.68
20BescondAnaisFRA
623.524.8-1.02-0.05-0.51-0.67
21HildebrandFranziskaGER
622.819.0-0.91-0.33-0.28-0.66
22StremousAlinaMDA
622.718.3-0.93-0.791.35-0.61
23VasnetcovaValeriiaRUS
626.718.0-0.840.04-1.08-0.61
24HinzVanessaGER
435.510.3-0.82-0.11-0.42-0.56
25EderMariFIN
522.415.5-1.240.390.46-0.56
26KazakevichIrinaRUS
630.814.2-0.94-0.140.29-0.56
27MinkkinenSuviFIN
438.88.8-0.24-0.89-1.35-0.56
28HaeckiLenaSUI
431.010.3-0.43-0.22-1.94-0.55
29TodorovaMilenaBUL
536.45.6-0.840.04-0.30-0.52
30ErdalKarolineNOR
436.014.3-0.52-0.42-0.54-0.49
31BendikaBaibaLAT
436.55.4-0.950.35-0.16-0.48
32SanfilippoFedericaITA
444.55.0-0.930.040.64-0.46
33HerrmannDeniseGER
428.59.6-1.140.660.16-0.46
34JislovaJessicaCZE
622.318.7-0.25-1.070.00-0.46
35ZukKamilaPOL
431.810.3-0.950.51-0.36-0.45
36TomingasTuuliEST
533.08.6-0.64-0.300.19-0.44
37LienIdaNOR
433.510.8-1.070.580.19-0.44
38FialkovaIvonaSVK
542.82.0-0.790.39-0.72-0.44
39LeshchankaIrynaBLR
441.59.6-0.880.35-0.12-0.43
40LieLotteBEL
636.57.8-0.09-0.89-0.60-0.39
Posted in Statistical analysis | Tagged 2021โ€“22 season, Data, overall performance

Improvement season-to-season

Posted on 2021-11-28 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Improvement season-to-season

Changes in the Total Performance Scores of regular World Cup athletes. The tables show improvement and decline in z-scores from this weekend’s Season Opening in ร–stersund compared to trimester 1 of last season (roughly December 2020, only athletes with at least 3 races in last winter’s trimester 1). You can do your own season-to-season comparisons for all stats in the Patreon bonus area.


Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.


Men

2021โ€“22 z-Scores compared to Trimester 1 of 2020โ€“21 | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
1TodevBlagoyBUL
20.84-0.53-0.940.23-1.06
2GowScottCAN
2-0.25-1.56-1.74-0.81-1.00
3DudchenkoAntonUKR
2-0.76-0.53-1.04-0.73-0.72
4BrownJakeUSA
2-1.05-0.531.02-0.65-0.54
5SchommerPaulUSA
2-0.11-1.21-0.15-0.44-0.50
6DesthieuxSimonFRA
2-1.53-1.21-0.72-1.34-0.49
7StvrteckyJakubCZE
2-0.78-0.180.95-0.40-0.44
8KobonokiTsukasaJPN
20.24-1.210.33-0.17-0.41
9DovzanMihaSLO
20.17-1.21-1.40-0.42-0.40
10ZahknaReneEST
20.45-0.870.430.07-0.37
11StroliaVytautasLTU
2-0.90-0.531.30-0.53-0.36
12TsymbalBogdanUKR
20.11-0.53-1.50-0.27-0.31
13StefanssonMalteSWE
2-0.211.190.860.32-0.29
14ClaudeFabienFRA
2-1.73-0.18-1.50-1.26-0.28
15GowChristianCAN
2-0.47-1.21-1.33-0.79-0.27
16LeitnerFelixAUT
2-1.08-0.18-0.55-0.76-0.27
17PidruchnyiDmytroUKR
2-0.54-0.87-0.82-0.67-0.24
18StalderSebastianSUI
2-0.04-0.18-0.97-0.19-0.22
19MagazeevPavelMDA
20.24-0.53-1.34-0.17-0.21
20LatypovEduardRUS
2-1.00-1.21-0.01-0.95-0.15
21SiimerKristoEST
21.030.500.310.79-0.10
22DombrovskiKarolLTU
2-0.35-0.180.21-0.23-0.09
23ClaudeFlorentBEL
2-0.22-0.530.28-0.25-0.08
24NelinJesperSWE
2-1.32-0.180.52-0.77-0.04
25FemlingPeppeSWE
2-0.470.16-1.29-0.38-0.02
26SmolskiAntonBLR
2-1.28-0.180.23-0.78-0.02
27LazouskiDzmitryBLR
2-0.20-0.181.04-0.05+0.01
28HornPhilippGER
2-0.860.16-0.90-0.57+0.05
29ChristiansenVetle SjaastadNOR
2-1.50-0.870.64-1.06+0.10
30BoeTarjeiNOR
2-1.38-0.87-0.59-1.14+0.10
31BormoliniThomasITA
2-0.31-0.53-0.93-0.45+0.10
32BauerKlemenSLO
2-0.040.50-1.09-0.01+0.11
33SzczurekLukaszPOL
21.131.190.551.08+0.11
34GuigonnatAntoninFRA
2-1.210.16-0.39-0.71+0.11
35HiidensaloOlliFIN
2-0.210.160.800.02+0.12
36BanysLinasLTU
20.950.50-0.410.66+0.12
37EderSimonAUT
2-0.41-1.21-1.55-0.78+0.15
38SlotinsRobertsLAT
20.420.851.490.67+0.15
39SamuelssonSebastianSWE
2-2.000.160.44-1.08+0.15
40ReesRomanGER
2-0.900.16-0.15-0.50+0.18
41MukhinAlexandrKAZ
20.280.850.450.46+0.18
42VarabeiMaksimBLR
2-0.951.191.39-0.05+0.20
43BoeJohannes ThingnesNOR
2-1.61-1.210.02-1.30+0.20
44IlievVladimirBUL
2-0.460.500.38-0.08+0.22
45JacquelinEmilienFRA
2-1.990.50-0.63-1.10+0.23
46OzakiKosukeJPN
2-0.180.851.970.38+0.26
47BalogaMatejSVK
21.350.50-0.140.92+0.27
48TrsanRokSLO
21.20-1.56-0.680.18+0.27
49WindischDominikITA
2-0.421.19-1.09-0.03+0.28
50LoginovAlexanderRUS
2-1.210.16-0.48-0.73+0.29
51LangerThierryBEL
2-0.100.50-0.080.08+0.30
52RasticDamirSRB
20.660.503.220.92+0.33
53BocharnikovSergeyBLR
2-0.820.85-0.79-0.33+0.34
54LaegreidSturla HolmNOR
2-0.71-1.56-0.91-0.98+0.34
55Fillon MailletQuentinFRA
2-1.36-0.18-0.71-0.94+0.39
56DollBenediktGER
2-0.98-0.18-0.28-0.67+0.39
57KrcmarMichalCZE
2-0.740.160.08-0.38+0.40
58FakJakovSLO
2-0.37-1.21-0.85-0.67+0.42
59HarjulaTuomasFIN
20.620.16-1.650.21+0.43
60YaliotnauRamanBLR
2-0.511.531.180.28+0.43
61WegerBenjaminSUI
2-0.37-0.870.17-0.45+0.43
62KomatzDavidAUT
20.16-0.530.540.01+0.45
63GuzikGrzegorzPOL
20.141.190.710.51+0.46
64BionazDidierITA
20.11-0.180.610.09+0.47
65DohertySeanUSA
20.020.85-0.240.23+0.48
66SimaMichalSVK
20.550.850.080.58+0.54
67DaleJohannesNOR
2-1.240.160.88-0.58+0.64
68TachizakiMikitoJPN
21.03-0.870.680.44+0.65
69EberhardJulianAUT
20.060.16-0.270.05+0.72
70SinapovAntonBUL
20.421.530.760.78+0.72
71EliseevMatveyRUS
20.71-1.21-0.260.04+0.85
72VaclavikAdamCZE
20.031.881.190.70+0.88
73PonsiluomaMartinSWE
2-1.532.56-1.12-0.29+0.91
74GerdzhikovDimitarBUL
20.452.560.151.03+0.99
75HoferLukasITA
20.14-0.530.930.04+1.00
76GaranichevEvgeniyRUS
20.590.85-0.800.50+1.21

Women

2021โ€“22 z-Scores compared to Trimester 1 of 2020โ€“21 | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
1BendikaBaibaLAT
2-0.74-0.87-0.34-0.73-0.83
2LieLotteBEL
2-0.31-1.28-0.67-0.63-0.61
3SolaHannaBLR
2-1.29-0.05-1.47-0.95-0.55
4NigmatullinaUlianaRUS
2-0.60-1.68-0.33-0.88-0.43
5MagnussonAnnaSWE
2-0.72-0.46-0.13-0.57-0.37
6DavidovaMarketaCZE
2-1.24-1.68-0.15-1.24-0.37
7KliminaDaryaKAZ
20.16-0.052.040.33-0.35
8JislovaJessicaCZE
2-0.37-0.46-0.51-0.41-0.30
9FialkovaIvonaSVK
2-0.481.180.350.10-0.25
10AlimbekavaDzinaraBLR
2-1.46-1.28-0.44-1.29-0.23
11WeidelAnnaGER
2-0.09-2.09-0.74-0.75-0.23
12AvvakumovaEkaterinaKOR
20.27-0.46-0.060.02-0.22
13LescinskaiteGabrieleLTU
20.88-1.680.760.12-0.21
14CharvatovaLucieCZE
2-0.880.77-1.04-0.42-0.19
15BrorssonMonaSWE
2-1.09-0.46-0.84-0.88-0.18
16BescondAnaisFRA
2-1.32-0.05-0.29-0.83-0.17
17PuskarcikovaEvaCZE
2-0.44-0.46-0.11-0.40-0.16
18VittozziLisaITA
2-0.920.36-1.99-0.68-0.15
19EderMariFIN
2-1.05-0.051.45-0.46-0.14
20HauserLisa TheresaAUT
2-0.95-0.87-1.97-1.05-0.14
21KondratyevaAnastassiyaKAZ
21.80-0.873.001.17-0.13
22Chevalier-BouchetAnaisFRA
2-1.21-0.05-1.16-0.87-0.10
23LienIdaNOR
2-0.92-0.051.01-0.43-0.07
24IrwinDeedraUSA
20.300.360.190.31-0.05
25Braisaz-BouchetJustineFRA
2-1.650.36-0.40-0.91-0.05
26TodorovaMilenaBUL
2-0.650.77-0.26-0.19-0.03
27KalkenbergEmilie AagheimNOR
2-0.25-0.05-0.71-0.25-0.01
28OebergElviraSWE
2-2.150.77-0.91-1.15+0.00
29DzhimaYuliiaUKR
2-0.74-0.05-0.23-0.48+0.03
30RoeiselandMarte OlsbuNOR
2-1.63-0.46-1.32-1.25+0.05
31HerrmannDeniseGER
2-1.23-0.870.41-0.93+0.06
32PreussFranziskaGER
2-1.51-0.05-0.83-1.00+0.06
33KruchinkinaElenaBLR
2-0.35-0.05-0.35-0.26+0.07
34MironovaSvetlanaRUS
2-0.820.36-0.44-0.43+0.11
35KlemencicPolonaSLO
20.021.180.130.37+0.11
36TachizakiFuyukoJPN
20.06-0.870.93-0.11+0.12
37ChevalierChloeFRA
2-1.021.18-0.30-0.29+0.12
38LunderEmmaCAN
2-0.04-1.28-2.13-0.65+0.16
39EganClareUSA
2-0.51-0.460.51-0.37+0.17
40TomingasTuuliEST
2-0.31-0.46-0.01-0.32+0.18
41KuklinaLarisaRUS
2-0.58-0.05-0.61-0.43+0.19
42GasparinSelinaSUI
2-0.20-0.05-0.59-0.20+0.20
43PerssonLinnSWE
2-1.210.77-0.99-0.61+0.21
44HinzVanessaGER
2-0.31-0.46-0.13-0.33+0.21
45KocerginaNataljaLTU
20.410.361.160.49+0.24
46HettichJaninaGER
2-0.51-0.05-0.61-0.39+0.25
47LehtlaKadriEST
21.76-1.28-0.410.62+0.32
48TandrevoldIngrid LandmarkNOR
2-1.19-0.050.46-0.66+0.33
49EckhoffTirilNOR
2-1.631.18-0.82-0.71+0.34
50OebergHannaSWE
2-1.670.77-1.40-0.93+0.34
51Hojnisz-StaregaMonikaPOL
2-0.330.36-0.20-0.11+0.35
52KadevaDanielaBUL
20.610.77-0.060.58+0.38
53JankaErikaFIN
21.500.36-0.190.97+0.38
54BeaudrySarahCAN
21.26-1.28-0.900.27+0.41
55HaeckiLenaSUI
2-0.230.36-1.25-0.18+0.41
56KnottenKaroline OffigstadNOR
20.23-1.68-1.25-0.50+0.42
57MaedaSariJPN
2-1.013.23-0.570.27+0.42
58ZdoucDunjaAUT
20.51-1.28-0.40-0.11+0.42
59GasparinElisaSUI
2-0.120.36-0.120.02+0.49
60GasparinAitaSUI
20.040.36-0.800.03+0.49
61SchwaigerJuliaAUT
20.07-0.460.32-0.05+0.49
62ZukKamilaPOL
2-0.331.590.750.36+0.58
63SimonJuliaFRA
2-1.121.59-1.38-0.36+0.58
64WiererDorotheaITA
2-1.16-0.051.65-0.50+0.59
65MinkkinenSuviFIN
20.51-0.050.550.36+0.60
66HorvatovaHenrietaSVK
22.24-0.46-0.111.18+0.61
67RiederChristinaAUT
20.61-0.460.310.27+0.61
68SemerenkoValentinaUKR
20.14-0.05-0.86-0.03+0.62
69BekhEkaterinaUKR
20.391.59-0.950.58+0.66
70LeshchankaIrynaBLR
2-0.110.360.560.11+0.79
71ReidJoanneUSA
2-0.151.591.370.53+0.81
72TalihaermJohannaEST
20.881.181.121.00+0.83
73HachisukaAsukaJPN
21.711.591.891.70+1.08
74SabuleAnnijaLAT
22.910.77-0.011.94+1.20
75KazakevichIrinaRUS
2-0.693.640.530.71+1.31
Posted in Long-term trends, Statistical analysis | Tagged 2021โ€“22 season, shooting, skiing

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