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Tag: Data

Best performers in January

Posted on 2022-01-23 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Best performers in January

Who is in top shape going into the Winter Olympics which start in less than two weeks? A lot of favorites skipped some races recently, still the January results probably give a better indication of current form than the races in December.


Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.


Men

2021–22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
1LoginovAlexandrRUS
59.439.8-1.43-1.00-0.72-1.22
2LaegreidSturla HolmNOR
43.844.8-1.51-0.80-0.40-1.17
3BoeJohannes ThingnesNOR
413.832.5-1.83-0.07-0.58-1.17
4BoeTarjeiNOR
46.341.5-1.78-0.36-0.01-1.16
5Fillon MailletQuentinFRA
66.744.5-1.44-0.67-0.93-1.16
6DollBenediktGER
613.233.7-1.40-0.77-0.79-1.14
7SamuelssonSebastianSWE
410.335.0-1.27-1.04-0.48-1.11
8LesserErikGER
48.834.0-1.04-1.04-1.09-1.04
9TsvetkovMaksimRUS
423.516.2-1.10-1.040.10-0.94
10SerokhvostovDaniilRUS
414.821.2-1.13-0.70-0.32-0.91
11DesthieuxSimonFRA
616.726.8-1.02-0.87-0.43-0.90
12ClaudeFabienFRA
617.324.2-1.14-0.36-1.00-0.90
13JacquelinEmilienFRA
520.426.0-0.91-0.62-1.31-0.87
14KhaliliSaid KarimullaRUS
526.617.2-0.96-1.00-0.14-0.87
15BabikovAntonRUS
519.632.0-0.77-1.12-0.59-0.85
16HoferLukasITA
421.020.5-1.07-0.36-0.52-0.80
17BakkenSivert GuttormNOR
421.021.0-1.15-0.07-0.74-0.79
18SeppalaTeroFIN
619.023.2-0.91-0.67-0.45-0.78
19EderSimonAUT
521.618.5-0.44-1.12-1.47-0.76
20NawrathPhilippGER
433.010.5-1.28-0.020.07-0.75
21LeitnerFelixAUT
429.813.5-0.92-0.51-0.47-0.74
22SmolskiAntonBLR
620.324.8-1.04-0.360.08-0.71
23ReesRomanGER
515.027.4-0.71-0.74-0.58-0.70
24PonsiluomaMartinSWE
431.014.0-1.110.32-0.81-0.66
25ChristiansenVetle SjaastadNOR
419.321.8-0.94-0.07-0.31-0.61
26ClaudeFlorentBEL
622.219.5-0.52-1.070.31-0.58
27KrcmarMichalCZE
628.513.8-0.55-0.77-0.11-0.56
28HiidensaloOlliFIN
530.211.3-0.52-0.74-0.24-0.55
29BormoliniThomasITA
622.217.7-0.64-0.46-0.23-0.54
30GuigonnatAntoninFRA
541.012.0-0.73-0.11-0.63-0.54
31StroliaVytautasLTU
521.220.8-0.52-0.49-0.34-0.49
32VaclavikAdamCZE
539.25.8-0.850.15-0.16-0.48
33PidruchnyiDmytroUKR
432.310.0-0.770.49-1.15-0.45
34BurkhalterJoschaSUI
427.313.80.02-0.87-1.75-0.45
35IlievVladimirBUL
541.87.4-0.800.020.14-0.45
36PovarnitsynAlexanderRUS
537.03.2-0.34-0.53-0.78-0.45
37GiacomelTommasoITA
443.84.5-0.910.66-0.70-0.43
38WindischDominikITA
537.411.0-0.840.53-0.57-0.41
39TsymbalBogdanUKR
533.412.8-0.26-0.74-0.33-0.41
40FakJakovSLO
537.811.8-0.11-0.87-0.63-0.39

Women

2021–22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Points
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
1RoeiselandMarte OlsbuNOR
41.358.5-1.36-1.35-1.94-1.43
2OebergHannaSWE
46.341.0-1.45-0.73-1.99-1.31
3SimonJuliaFRA
68.239.0-1.30-0.61-2.10-1.20
4OebergElviraSWE
46.344.0-1.52-0.73-0.71-1.19
5AlimbekavaDzinaraBLR
64.343.7-1.37-0.79-1.26-1.19
6WiererDorotheaITA
66.840.2-1.14-0.51-2.29-1.10
7BrorssonMonaSWE
511.032.0-1.39-0.54-0.55-1.04
8Braisaz-BouchetJustineFRA
614.031.7-1.760.14-0.30-1.03
9Chevalier-BouchetAnaisFRA
58.835.6-0.94-0.89-1.50-0.99
10DavidovaMarketaCZE
613.528.2-1.23-0.51-0.24-0.90
11SolaHannaBLR
523.016.7-1.420.51-1.65-0.89
12TandrevoldIngrid LandmarkNOR
48.533.8-1.26-0.22-0.11-0.82
13ReztsovaKristinaRUS
516.226.4-1.370.39-0.98-0.81
14HauserLisa TheresaAUT
613.027.7-0.83-0.33-1.71-0.79
15PerssonLinnSWE
426.318.8-1.11-0.11-0.70-0.77
16NigmatullinaUlianaRUS
534.816.2-0.76-0.77-0.46-0.72
17Hojnisz-StaregaMonikaPOL
428.014.5-0.73-0.73-0.65-0.72
18ChevalierChloeFRA
618.522.5-0.95-0.42-0.11-0.69
19VoigtVanessaGER
517.623.8-0.56-1.240.07-0.68
20BescondAnaisFRA
623.524.8-1.02-0.05-0.51-0.67
21HildebrandFranziskaGER
622.819.0-0.91-0.33-0.28-0.66
22StremousAlinaMDA
622.718.3-0.93-0.791.35-0.61
23VasnetcovaValeriiaRUS
626.718.0-0.840.04-1.08-0.61
24HinzVanessaGER
435.510.3-0.82-0.11-0.42-0.56
25EderMariFIN
522.415.5-1.240.390.46-0.56
26KazakevichIrinaRUS
630.814.2-0.94-0.140.29-0.56
27MinkkinenSuviFIN
438.88.8-0.24-0.89-1.35-0.56
28HaeckiLenaSUI
431.010.3-0.43-0.22-1.94-0.55
29TodorovaMilenaBUL
536.45.6-0.840.04-0.30-0.52
30ErdalKarolineNOR
436.014.3-0.52-0.42-0.54-0.49
31BendikaBaibaLAT
436.55.4-0.950.35-0.16-0.48
32SanfilippoFedericaITA
444.55.0-0.930.040.64-0.46
33HerrmannDeniseGER
428.59.6-1.140.660.16-0.46
34JislovaJessicaCZE
622.318.7-0.25-1.070.00-0.46
35ZukKamilaPOL
431.810.3-0.950.51-0.36-0.45
36TomingasTuuliEST
533.08.6-0.64-0.300.19-0.44
37LienIdaNOR
433.510.8-1.070.580.19-0.44
38FialkovaIvonaSVK
542.82.0-0.790.39-0.72-0.44
39LeshchankaIrynaBLR
441.59.6-0.880.35-0.12-0.43
40LieLotteBEL
636.57.8-0.09-0.89-0.60-0.39
Posted in Statistical analysis | Tagged 2021–22 season, Data, overall performance

Biathlon World Cup wins by age | Men

Posted on 2021-12-16 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Biathlon World Cup wins by age | Men

Men’s individual/non-team wins in World Cup level races by age. Biathlon World Cup, World Championships, Olympics – Women (1958 – 2021).

Posted in Biathlon Media, Long-term trends | Tagged Data, data visualization, results

Biathlon World Cup wins by age | Women

Posted on 2021-12-09 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Biathlon World Cup wins by age | Women

Women’s individual/non-team wins in World Cup level races by age (in y – years and d – days).

Biathlon World Cup, World Championships, Olympics – Women (1984- 2021).

Posted in Biathlon Media, Long-term trends, Statistical analysis | Tagged Data, data visualization

New feature: Complete IBU Cup & Junior level data

Posted on 2021-09-29 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on New feature: Complete IBU Cup & Junior level data

The website already offered data for single races of below World Cup level events (IBU Cups, European Championships, IBU Junior Cups, Youth/Junior World Championships). Now you can also search for aggregated shooting and skiing data of IBU Cup seasons or junior level seasons, as well as updated athlete data, which includes all lower level IBU events.

The athletes, teams, races and seasons pages have been updated with a “Level” selection (sidebar) that allows you to switch between categories (competition levels: World Cup level, IBU Cup level, Junior level). For example: junior level races of last season.

The real biathlon database now includes the same seasonal data for IBU Cup seasons and junior seasons as it’s already available for all World Cup seasons. Below I listed the men’s performance scores for the 2020–21 IBU Cup. Interestingly, the scores for top IBU Cup athletes seem to be much closer to the mean (roughly one standard deviation better) than your average World Cup winner (-1.2 to -1.4) at the top international level.

Top overall performance scores | 2020–21 IBU Cup Men

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesRank
(avg)
Ski Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
1BakkenSivert GuttormNOR
159.5-0.84-1.22-1.57-1.04
2KhaliliSaid KarimullaRUS
66.3-0.84-1.66-0.36-1.02
3CappellariDanieleITA
1521.2-0.44-1.73-1.85-0.99
4AndersenFilip FjeldNOR
158.7-1.00-0.93-0.87-0.96
5AndersenAleksander FjeldNOR
1510.5-0.89-0.97-1.24-0.95
6StroemsheimEndreNOR
1212.2-0.92-0.69-1.50-0.93
7NawrathPhilippGER
1510.7-1.07-0.76-0.32-0.89
8TsymbalBogdanUKR
720.1-0.79-0.98-0.94-0.86
9StrelowJustusGER
1520.6-0.65-1.22-0.98-0.85
10PorshnevNikitaRUS
1418.4-0.62-1.44-0.52-0.84

The new data also allows you to compare athletes at different competition levels. Below you can see a comparison of junior level race results for Dzinara Alimbekava and Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold. Even though Tandrevold was by far the better junior (winning 5 individual youth/junior world championship medals), Alimbekava took last season’s first ever Under-25 score (blue bib), beating Tandrevold by 27 points.

Other useful additions include tables for Youth/Junior World Championships medals for all athletes, the possibility to compare season data for athletes at different levels (who is shooting better/worse at World Cup level?) and complete results lists (particularly useful for athletes that often change between World Cup and lower levels),

Posted in Website updates | Tagged Data

New database search function

Posted on 2021-07-18 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on New database search function

I have been working on a new feature that allows to search the real biathlon database for all-time records, seasonal data/records or specific data subsets. You can search three separate categories: among all single races, aggregated seasonal data, and career statistics. I implemented a new web interface available in the Patreon section for more complex database searches that allows combined queries for multiple values/ranges.

Below are a few examples of possible queries:

Since 2001–02, there have been only 3 races in which an athlete topped all major stats (rank, ski rank, hit rate, shooting time): all these “perfect” races where done by Ole Einar Bjørndalen between 2001 and 2005. There hasn’t been a single race like this on the women’s side.

“Perfect” races, all time

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationDateLevelPlaceDisciplineRankSki RankTotal PercentShooting Time Rank
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationDateLevelPlaceDisciplineRankSki RankTotal PercentShooting Time Rank
1BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2001-12-06WCHochfilzenSP111001
2BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2004-12-11WCOslo HolmenkollenSP111001
3BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2005-01-23WCAntholz-AnterselvaPU111001
4BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2005-02-20WCPokljukaMS121002
5EberhardJulianAUT
2017-03-03WCPyeongChangSP121001

Who was the fastest skier ever? That’s difficult to answer, because results will always differ depending on your criteria. But the list of the top female skiers (per season) in terms of percent back from top 10 median isn’t a bad benchmark.

Kaisa Mäkäräinen, Magdalena Neuner and Darya Domracheva had 3 seasons each skiing at least 1.6% faster than the top 10 median. Interestingly, all seasons are from at least 6 years ago. Either the depth of the women’s field has increased a lot in just a couple of years, or there aren’t as many all-time great skiers in today’s field.

Fastest skiers (top 10 median back) | Women’s seasons

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSeason IdDisciplineYearSkiing Top 10 Median BackSki RankSpeed
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSeason IdDisciplineYearSkiing Top 10 Median BackSki RankSpeed
1MakarainenKaisaFIN
251415NonTeam2015-2.6382.423.01
2NeunerMagdalenaGER
250708NonTeam2008-2.5021.3222.255
3DomrachevaDaryaBLR
261112NonTeam2012-2.4542.34622.385
4DomrachevaDaryaBLR
251415NonTeam2015-2.0642.12522.852
5ZidekAnna CarinSWE
230506NonTeam2006-1.9992.43521.226
6DomrachevaDaryaBLR
241314NonTeam2014-1.891.91722.472
7NeunerMagdalenaGER
251112NonTeam2012-1.822.7222.261
8NeunerMagdalenaGER
211011NonTeam2011-1.7741.95222.14
9MakarainenKaisaFIN
261213NonTeam2013-1.7362.69222.404
10MakarainenKaisaFIN
261112NonTeam2012-1.7352.61522.211
11GoessnerMiriamGER
241213NonTeam2013-1.64.08322.375

Below are the fastest female shooters – average of all career shooting times (at least 10 races). Unsurprisingly, that list is dominated by current athletes, as shooting speed have increased considerably over the last decade. Julia Simon tops this ranking with a average 25.5s shooting time in her 80 career races to date.

Fastest shooters (below 27 sec) | Women’s career data

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationFirst YearLast YearRacesDisciplineTotal Shooting TimeTotal PercentRaces
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationFirst YearLast YearRacesDisciplineTotal Shooting TimeTotal PercentRaces
1SimonJuliaFRA
2017202180NonTeam25.47877.85780
2CadurischIreneSUI
2012202168NonTeam25.88879.04468
3KummerLuiseGER
2014201622NonTeam26.3587.04522
4MerkushynaAnastasiyaUKR
2015202176NonTeam26.51584.73776
5BankesMeganCAN
2017202143NonTeam26.62974.3943
6WiererDorotheaITA
20092021238NonTeam26.71985.506238
7GhilenkoAllaMDA
2017202136NonTeam26.82479.54536
8PojeUrskaSLO
2014202036NonTeam26.86884.58336

Posted in Website updates | Tagged Data

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