real biathlon – Page 2 – real biathlon

Olympic Mixed Relay Projection

Posted on 2022-02-04 | by

Who are the favorites for the opening biathlon event at 2022 Winter Olympics? Here are the overall relay performances scores for the top 10 nations in the Mixed Nations Cup score (team performances this season).

Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.

Norway – Average Performance Score: -1.16

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
1	Roeiseland	Marte Olsbu	NOR	3	4.0	46.3	-1.35	-1.24	-1.86	-1.53
1	Eckhoff	Tiril	NOR	3	4.0	46.3	-1.52	0.05	0.57	-0.54
1	Boe	Tarjei	NOR	4	1.0	60.0	-1.06	-1.06	-0.77	-0.95
1	Boe	Johannes T.	NOR	4	1.0	60.0	-1.93	-1.59	-1.17	-1.60

France – Average Performance Score: -1.06

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
2	Chevalier-Bouchet	Anais	FRA	4	4.0	49.5	-1.28	0.44	-1.66	-1.22
2	Simon	Julia	FRA	3	1.7	56.0	-1.26	-0.37	-1.07	-1.08
2	Jacquelin	Emilien	FRA	3	3.0	49.3	-1.20	-0.41	0.27	-0.55
2	Fillon Maillet	Quentin	FRA	3	3.0	49.3	-1.49	-1.47	-1.24	-1.39

Belarus – Average Performance Score: -0.95

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
3	Alimbekava	Dzinara	BLR	4	5.5	44.0	-1.23	-1.24	-1.71	-1.41
3	Sola	Hanna	BLR	5	6.2	41.6	-1.46	0.42	0.50	-0.49
3	Labastau	Mikita	BLR	4	5.8	42.3	-0.88	-0.74	-1.15	-0.96
3	Smolski	Anton	BLR	5	5.8	41.4	-1.09	-0.96	-0.72	-0.94

Germany – Average Performance Score: -0.87

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
4	Voigt	Vanessa	GER	4	4.8	41.0	-0.71	-1.04	-0.69	-0.74
4	Herrmann	Denise	GER	3	4.3	42.0	-1.61	-0.19	0.56	-0.62
4	Doll	Benedikt	GER	3	4.0	45.0	-1.17	-0.59	-0.42	-0.81
4	Nawrath	Philipp	GER	3	3.3	46.7	-1.35	-1.23	-1.28	-1.31

Sweden – Average Performance Score: -0.78

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
5	Oeberg	Hanna	SWE	3	2.7	50.3	-1.26	0.75	0.20	-0.47
5	Oeberg	Elvira	SWE	3	2.7	50.3	-2.19	-0.57	-0.49	-1.35
5	Ponsiluoma	Martin	SWE	4	6.0	38.3	-1.37	-0.74	-0.43	-0.94
5	Samuelsson	Sebastian	SWE	4	6.0	38.3	-0.86	0.27	0.12	-0.35

ROC – Average Performance Score: -0.74

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
6	Nigmatullina	Uliana	RUS	3	4.0	47.3	-0.63	-0.37	0.08	-0.33
6	Reztsova	Kristina	RUS	5	3.2	50.0	-1.30	-0.35	-1.28	-1.18
6	Loginov	Alexandr	RUS	4	2.3	52.5	-1.55	-0.45	-0.25	-0.93
6	Latypov	Eduard	RUS	3	2.7	50.0	-1.53	0.52	0.47	-0.53

Italy – Average Performance Score: -0.64

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
7	Vittozzi	Lisa	ITA	5	7.2	36.6	-0.82	-0.57	-1.62	-1.09
7	Wierer	Dorothea	ITA	4	5.8	38.8	-0.72	0.41	0.54	-0.11
7	Bormolini	Thomas	ITA	5	7.4	35.6	-0.96	0.04	0.13	-0.42
7	Hofer	Lukas	ITA	3	6.7	37.0	-0.79	-1.01	-1.11	-0.94

Ukraine – Average Performance Score: -0.53

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
8	Semerenko	Valentina	UKR	3	10.0	31.0	-0.23	-0.37	-0.32	-0.28
8	Dzhima	Yuliia	UKR	4	8.5	33.5	-0.74	0.36	0.13	-0.28
8	Pryma	Artem	UKR	5	6.8	36.6	-0.30	-0.48	-0.75	-0.50
8	Pidruchnyi	Dmytro	UKR	5	6.8	36.6	-0.91	-0.96	-1.29	-1.06

Czech Republic – Average Performance Score: -0.43

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
9	Jislova	Jessica	CZE	5	9.0	33.2	-0.46	-0.96	-0.88	-0.68
9	Davidova	Marketa	CZE	5	9.0	33.2	-1.13	-0.22	0.50	-0.40
9	Karlik	Mikulas	CZE	4	13.3	27.8	-0.64	0.45	1.05	0.13
9	Krcmar	Michal	CZE	4	11.8	29.3	-0.80	-0.59	-0.78	-0.77

Austria – Average Performance Score: -0.37

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
10	Schwaiger	Julia	AUT	4	12.5	29.3	-0.16	-0.28	0.44	0.06
10	Hauser	Lisa Theresa	AUT	3	8.3	38.7	-1.03	0.54	0.21	-0.37
10	Eder	Simon	AUT	5	11.2	32.8	-0.54	-0.58	-1.09	-0.76
10	Leitner	Felix	AUT	4	13.3	27.8	-0.59	-0.42	-0.15	-0.40

Best performers in January

Posted on 2022-01-23 | by

real biathlon | Leave a Comment

Who is in top shape going into the Winter Olympics which start in less than two weeks? A lot of favorites skipped some races recently, still the January results probably give a better indication of current form than the races in December.

Men

2021–22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
1	Loginov	Alexandr	RUS	5	9.4	39.8	-1.43	-1.00	-0.72	-1.22
2	Laegreid	Sturla Holm	NOR	4	3.8	44.8	-1.51	-0.80	-0.40	-1.17
3	Boe	Johannes Thingnes	NOR	4	13.8	32.5	-1.83	-0.07	-0.58	-1.17
4	Boe	Tarjei	NOR	4	6.3	41.5	-1.78	-0.36	-0.01	-1.16
5	Fillon Maillet	Quentin	FRA	6	6.7	44.5	-1.44	-0.67	-0.93	-1.16
6	Doll	Benedikt	GER	6	13.2	33.7	-1.40	-0.77	-0.79	-1.14
7	Samuelsson	Sebastian	SWE	4	10.3	35.0	-1.27	-1.04	-0.48	-1.11
8	Lesser	Erik	GER	4	8.8	34.0	-1.04	-1.04	-1.09	-1.04
9	Tsvetkov	Maksim	RUS	4	23.5	16.2	-1.10	-1.04	0.10	-0.94
10	Serokhvostov	Daniil	RUS	4	14.8	21.2	-1.13	-0.70	-0.32	-0.91
11	Desthieux	Simon	FRA	6	16.7	26.8	-1.02	-0.87	-0.43	-0.90
12	Claude	Fabien	FRA	6	17.3	24.2	-1.14	-0.36	-1.00	-0.90
13	Jacquelin	Emilien	FRA	5	20.4	26.0	-0.91	-0.62	-1.31	-0.87
14	Khalili	Said Karimulla	RUS	5	26.6	17.2	-0.96	-1.00	-0.14	-0.87
15	Babikov	Anton	RUS	5	19.6	32.0	-0.77	-1.12	-0.59	-0.85
16	Hofer	Lukas	ITA	4	21.0	20.5	-1.07	-0.36	-0.52	-0.80
17	Bakken	Sivert Guttorm	NOR	4	21.0	21.0	-1.15	-0.07	-0.74	-0.79
18	Seppala	Tero	FIN	6	19.0	23.2	-0.91	-0.67	-0.45	-0.78
19	Eder	Simon	AUT	5	21.6	18.5	-0.44	-1.12	-1.47	-0.76
20	Nawrath	Philipp	GER	4	33.0	10.5	-1.28	-0.02	0.07	-0.75
21	Leitner	Felix	AUT	4	29.8	13.5	-0.92	-0.51	-0.47	-0.74
22	Smolski	Anton	BLR	6	20.3	24.8	-1.04	-0.36	0.08	-0.71
23	Rees	Roman	GER	5	15.0	27.4	-0.71	-0.74	-0.58	-0.70
24	Ponsiluoma	Martin	SWE	4	31.0	14.0	-1.11	0.32	-0.81	-0.66
25	Christiansen	Vetle Sjaastad	NOR	4	19.3	21.8	-0.94	-0.07	-0.31	-0.61
26	Claude	Florent	BEL	6	22.2	19.5	-0.52	-1.07	0.31	-0.58
27	Krcmar	Michal	CZE	6	28.5	13.8	-0.55	-0.77	-0.11	-0.56
28	Hiidensalo	Olli	FIN	5	30.2	11.3	-0.52	-0.74	-0.24	-0.55
29	Bormolini	Thomas	ITA	6	22.2	17.7	-0.64	-0.46	-0.23	-0.54
30	Guigonnat	Antonin	FRA	5	41.0	12.0	-0.73	-0.11	-0.63	-0.54
31	Strolia	Vytautas	LTU	5	21.2	20.8	-0.52	-0.49	-0.34	-0.49
32	Vaclavik	Adam	CZE	5	39.2	5.8	-0.85	0.15	-0.16	-0.48
33	Pidruchnyi	Dmytro	UKR	4	32.3	10.0	-0.77	0.49	-1.15	-0.45
34	Burkhalter	Joscha	SUI	4	27.3	13.8	0.02	-0.87	-1.75	-0.45
35	Iliev	Vladimir	BUL	5	41.8	7.4	-0.80	0.02	0.14	-0.45
36	Povarnitsyn	Alexander	RUS	5	37.0	3.2	-0.34	-0.53	-0.78	-0.45
37	Giacomel	Tommaso	ITA	4	43.8	4.5	-0.91	0.66	-0.70	-0.43
38	Windisch	Dominik	ITA	5	37.4	11.0	-0.84	0.53	-0.57	-0.41
39	Tsymbal	Bogdan	UKR	5	33.4	12.8	-0.26	-0.74	-0.33	-0.41
40	Fak	Jakov	SLO	5	37.8	11.8	-0.11	-0.87	-0.63	-0.39

Women

2021–22 z-Scores in January | Non-Team events

No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
No	Family Name	Given Name	Nation	Races	Rank (avg)	Points (avg)	Ski Speed Score	Hit Rate Score	Range Time Score	Total Performance Score
1	Roeiseland	Marte Olsbu	NOR	4	1.3	58.5	-1.36	-1.35	-1.94	-1.43
2	Oeberg	Hanna	SWE	4	6.3	41.0	-1.45	-0.73	-1.99	-1.31
3	Simon	Julia	FRA	6	8.2	39.0	-1.30	-0.61	-2.10	-1.20
4	Oeberg	Elvira	SWE	4	6.3	44.0	-1.52	-0.73	-0.71	-1.19
5	Alimbekava	Dzinara	BLR	6	4.3	43.7	-1.37	-0.79	-1.26	-1.19
6	Wierer	Dorothea	ITA	6	6.8	40.2	-1.14	-0.51	-2.29	-1.10
7	Brorsson	Mona	SWE	5	11.0	32.0	-1.39	-0.54	-0.55	-1.04
8	Braisaz-Bouchet	Justine	FRA	6	14.0	31.7	-1.76	0.14	-0.30	-1.03
9	Chevalier-Bouchet	Anais	FRA	5	8.8	35.6	-0.94	-0.89	-1.50	-0.99
10	Davidova	Marketa	CZE	6	13.5	28.2	-1.23	-0.51	-0.24	-0.90
11	Sola	Hanna	BLR	5	23.0	16.7	-1.42	0.51	-1.65	-0.89
12	Tandrevold	Ingrid Landmark	NOR	4	8.5	33.8	-1.26	-0.22	-0.11	-0.82
13	Reztsova	Kristina	RUS	5	16.2	26.4	-1.37	0.39	-0.98	-0.81
14	Hauser	Lisa Theresa	AUT	6	13.0	27.7	-0.83	-0.33	-1.71	-0.79
15	Persson	Linn	SWE	4	26.3	18.8	-1.11	-0.11	-0.70	-0.77
16	Nigmatullina	Uliana	RUS	5	34.8	16.2	-0.76	-0.77	-0.46	-0.72
17	Hojnisz-Starega	Monika	POL	4	28.0	14.5	-0.73	-0.73	-0.65	-0.72
18	Chevalier	Chloe	FRA	6	18.5	22.5	-0.95	-0.42	-0.11	-0.69
19	Voigt	Vanessa	GER	5	17.6	23.8	-0.56	-1.24	0.07	-0.68
20	Bescond	Anais	FRA	6	23.5	24.8	-1.02	-0.05	-0.51	-0.67
21	Hildebrand	Franziska	GER	6	22.8	19.0	-0.91	-0.33	-0.28	-0.66
22	Stremous	Alina	MDA	6	22.7	18.3	-0.93	-0.79	1.35	-0.61
23	Vasnetcova	Valeriia	RUS	6	26.7	18.0	-0.84	0.04	-1.08	-0.61
24	Hinz	Vanessa	GER	4	35.5	10.3	-0.82	-0.11	-0.42	-0.56
25	Eder	Mari	FIN	5	22.4	15.5	-1.24	0.39	0.46	-0.56
26	Kazakevich	Irina	RUS	6	30.8	14.2	-0.94	-0.14	0.29	-0.56
27	Minkkinen	Suvi	FIN	4	38.8	8.8	-0.24	-0.89	-1.35	-0.56
28	Haecki	Lena	SUI	4	31.0	10.3	-0.43	-0.22	-1.94	-0.55
29	Todorova	Milena	BUL	5	36.4	5.6	-0.84	0.04	-0.30	-0.52
30	Erdal	Karoline	NOR	4	36.0	14.3	-0.52	-0.42	-0.54	-0.49
31	Bendika	Baiba	LAT	4	36.5	5.4	-0.95	0.35	-0.16	-0.48
32	Sanfilippo	Federica	ITA	4	44.5	5.0	-0.93	0.04	0.64	-0.46
33	Herrmann	Denise	GER	4	28.5	9.6	-1.14	0.66	0.16	-0.46
34	Jislova	Jessica	CZE	6	22.3	18.7	-0.25	-1.07	0.00	-0.46
35	Zuk	Kamila	POL	4	31.8	10.3	-0.95	0.51	-0.36	-0.45
36	Tomingas	Tuuli	EST	5	33.0	8.6	-0.64	-0.30	0.19	-0.44
37	Lien	Ida	NOR	4	33.5	10.8	-1.07	0.58	0.19	-0.44
38	Fialkova	Ivona	SVK	5	42.8	2.0	-0.79	0.39	-0.72	-0.44
39	Leshchanka	Iryna	BLR	4	41.5	9.6	-0.88	0.35	-0.12	-0.43
40	Lie	Lotte	BEL	6	36.5	7.8	-0.09	-0.89	-0.60	-0.39