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Most improved athletes this winter

Posted on 2022-12-24 | by real biathlon

Season-to-season improvements in Total Performance Scores of regular World Cup athletes. The last row of both tables shows improvement and decline in overall scores for this season’s World Cup trimester 1 compared to performances in trimester 1 last season (only athletes with at least 5 races this winter). You can do your own season-to-season comparisons for all stats in the Patreon bonus area.


Note: The scores are standard scores (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares (for more details, see here and here), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.


Men

2022โ€“23 z-Scores compared to 2021โ€“22 | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
1HartwegNiklasSUI
6-0.97-1.41-1.47-1.16-0.99
2AndersenFilip FjeldNOR
8-1.17-0.85-0.44-0.99-0.63
3ClaudeFlorentBEL
8-0.64-1.420.25-0.76-0.56
4GuzikGrzegorzPOL
50.07-0.070.590.09-0.50
5GiacomelTommasoITA
8-1.210.20-1.92-0.88-0.48
6LaegreidSturla HolmNOR
8-1.59-1.42-1.85-1.57-0.42
7BoeJohannes ThingnesNOR
8-1.98-0.94-1.37-1.60-0.42
8PonsiluomaMartinSWE
8-1.490.40-0.91-0.87-0.36
9DohertySeanUSA
8-0.360.20-0.89-0.26-0.36
10ReesRomanGER
8-1.06-1.04-0.40-0.98-0.35
11StvrteckyJakubCZE
6-1.110.520.34-0.46-0.33
12IlievVladimirBUL
5-0.890.640.25-0.31-0.30
13StroliaVytautasLTU
8-1.01-0.91-0.42-0.91-0.28
14SimaMichalSVK
60.44-0.860.730.10-0.26
15LapshinTimofeiKOR
5-0.29-0.36-1.91-0.50-0.25
16KomatzDavidAUT
70.00-1.360.80-0.30-0.25
17MagazeevPavelMDA
60.09-0.821.950.05-0.25
18KarlikMikulasCZE
5-0.611.040.940.05-0.23
19HiidensaloOlliFIN
8-0.54-0.56-0.52-0.54-0.22
20TachizakiMikitoJPN
60.71-1.27-0.010.05-0.20
21DollBenediktGER
8-1.41-0.27-0.71-1.00-0.17
22ClaudeFabienFRA
8-1.48-0.75-0.76-1.18-0.16
23NelinJesperSWE
8-1.24-0.750.57-0.88-0.14
24KrcmarMichalCZE
8-0.98-0.75-0.12-0.81-0.08
25BrandtOskarSWE
5-0.901.350.65-0.06-0.07
26WrightCampbellNZL
50.160.29-0.240.15-0.06
27PerrotEricFRA
5-0.810.64-0.13-0.31+0.00
28ZahknaReneEST
70.52-0.80-0.130.06+0.07
29DudchenkoAntonUKR
7-0.62-0.68-1.15-0.70+0.08
30GuigonnatAntoninFRA
8-1.09-0.37-0.34-0.79+0.12
31Fillon MailletQuentinFRA
8-1.07-1.23-1.21-1.13+0.14
32LeitnerFelixAUT
8-0.31-1.04-0.71-0.57+0.16
33RunnallsAdamCAN
60.100.11-1.77-0.12+0.17
34LangerThierryBEL
6-0.350.80-0.29-0.01+0.20
35BoeTarjeiNOR
8-1.30-0.37-0.54-0.94+0.21
36SamuelssonSebastianSWE
8-1.23-0.75-0.38-0.99+0.21
37FemlingPeppeSWE
7-0.500.22-1.39-0.40+0.21
38ChristiansenVetle SjaastadNOR
8-1.52-0.47-0.20-1.06+0.23
39SeppalaTeroFIN
7-1.030.22-0.75-0.63+0.23
40JacquelinEmilienFRA
8-1.610.11-0.89-1.02+0.24
41NawrathPhilippGER
5-0.62-0.200.21-0.40+0.31
42KuehnJohannesGER
7-1.260.67-0.47-0.60+0.32
43EderSimonAUT
5-0.41-0.67-0.52-0.50+0.32

Women

2022โ€“23 z-Scores compared to 2021โ€“22 | Non-Team events

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSki Speed
Score
Hit Rate
Score
Range Time
Score
Total
Performance
Score
Change
1KlemencicPolonaSLO
7-0.91-0.290.20-0.59-0.68
2VittozziLisaITA
8-1.29-0.92-1.28-1.18-0.47
3KinnunenNastassiaFIN
5-0.48-0.040.56-0.23-0.46
4GasparinAitaSUI
8-0.53-0.75-0.88-0.64-0.45
5ComolaSamuelaITA
7-0.23-1.01-0.04-0.43-0.44
6SimonJuliaFRA
8-1.38-1.10-1.79-1.34-0.42
7MinkkinenSuviFIN
7-0.26-1.22-0.96-0.62-0.39
8EderMariFIN
8-1.350.46-0.09-0.67-0.37
9Batovska FialkovaPaulinaSVK
8-0.71-0.23-0.42-0.53-0.36
10TandrevoldIngrid LandmarkNOR
8-1.33-1.01-0.48-1.13-0.31
11KnottenKaroline OffigstadNOR
8-0.35-1.01-1.12-0.63-0.26
12ChevalierChloeFRA
8-0.99-0.49-0.13-0.74-0.26
13VoigtVanessaGER
8-0.92-1.360.36-0.90-0.25
14LunderEmmaCAN
6-0.54-0.76-1.49-0.72-0.25
15ZdoucDunjaAUT
70.15-1.01-0.79-0.30-0.23
16ReidJoanneUSA
6-0.17-0.130.14-0.12-0.22
17SchwaigerJuliaAUT
7-0.370.010.06-0.20-0.21
18PerssonLinnSWE
8-0.98-1.01-1.30-1.03-0.20
19MakaAnnaPOL
5-0.15-0.370.51-0.13-0.15
20TachizakiFuyukoJPN
7-0.28-1.010.79-0.36-0.13
21MagnussonAnnaSWE
8-0.71-0.84-0.82-0.76-0.12
22IrwinDeedraUSA
6-0.19-0.130.13-0.13-0.10
23WiererDorotheaITA
8-0.98-0.75-1.78-1.01-0.10
24ZukKamilaPOL
6-0.310.370.37-0.03-0.09
25TomingasTuuliEST
6-0.850.620.60-0.25-0.06
26LienIdaNOR
7-1.160.120.51-0.59-0.05
27Herrmann-WickDeniseGER
8-1.37-0.49-0.58-1.02-0.03
28KalkenbergEmilie AagheimNOR
7-0.25-0.60-0.79-0.42-0.03
29DavidovaMarketaCZE
8-1.02-0.92-1.20-1.01-0.00
30BendikaBaibaLAT
7-0.830.73-0.66-0.36+0.02
31Chevalier-BouchetAnaisFRA
8-1.22-0.49-1.13-1.00+0.04
32Haecki-GrossLenaSUI
8-0.940.46-1.09-0.55+0.04
33OebergElviraSWE
8-1.72-0.84-0.86-1.36+0.06
34HauserLisa TheresaAUT
8-0.93-0.84-1.44-0.97+0.16
35LieLotteBEL
7-0.38-1.22-0.13-0.59+0.17
36TodorovaMilenaBUL
7-0.540.32-0.32-0.26+0.19
37OebergHannaSWE
8-1.31-0.14-1.51-1.00+0.24
38PreussFranziskaGER
5-0.81-0.31-1.13-0.70+0.33
39StremousAlinaMDA
7-0.16-0.091.230.03+0.33
40JislovaJessicaCZE
7-0.15-0.70-0.49-0.35+0.40
41CharvatovaLucieCZE
6-0.401.25-0.880.02+0.42
42BlashkoDariaUKR
60.48-0.51-0.450.08+0.42
43FialkovaIvonaSVK
5-0.731.73-0.180.05+0.45
44BilosiukOlenaUKR
50.68-0.69-0.030.20+0.53
45NilssonStinaSWE
7-0.690.630.47-0.17+0.54

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Posted in Statistical analysis | Tagged results, shooting, skiing

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Recent Articles

  • Junior + U23 Development Index – Men
  • Junior + U23 Development Index – Women
  • The Path to GOAT Status
  • Most improved athletes this winter
  • New biathlon point system

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  • Biathlon Media
  • Biathlon News
  • Long-term trends
  • Statistical analysis
  • Website updates

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