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Biathlon World Cup wins | Men (1958 – 2021)

Posted on 2021-09-10 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Biathlon World Cup wins | Men (1958 – 2021)

I have been experimenting with bar chart races lately. I think itโ€™s an interesting visualization that gives a unique historical perspective that you donโ€™t get by simply looking up records.

Here is one of my first attempts, non-team victories in men’s World Cup level races (Biathlon World Cup, World Championships, Olympics) from 1958- 2021. I hope you like it.

Women:

Posted in Biathlon Media, Long-term trends

New database search function

Posted on 2021-07-18 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on New database search function

I have been working on a new feature that allows to search the real biathlon database for all-time records, seasonal data/records or specific data subsets. You can search three separate categories: among all single races, aggregated seasonal data, and career statistics. I implemented a new web interface available in the Patreon section for more complex database searches that allows combined queries for multiple values/ranges.

Below are a few examples of possible queries:

Since 2001โ€“02, there have been only 3 races in which an athlete topped all major stats (rank, ski rank, hit rate, shooting time): all these “perfect” races where done by Ole Einar Bjรธrndalen between 2001 and 2005. There hasn’t been a single race like this on the women’s side.

“Perfect” races, all time

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationDateLevelPlaceDisciplineRankSki RankTotal PercentShooting Time Rank
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationDateLevelPlaceDisciplineRankSki RankTotal PercentShooting Time Rank
1BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2001-12-06WCHochfilzenSP111001
2BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2004-12-11WCOslo HolmenkollenSP111001
3BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2005-01-23WCAntholz-AnterselvaPU111001
4BjoerndalenOle EinarNOR
2005-02-20WCPokljukaMS121002
5EberhardJulianAUT
2017-03-03WCPyeongChangSP121001

Who was the fastest skier ever? That’s difficult to answer, because results will always differ depending on your criteria. But the list of the top female skiers (per season) in terms of percent back from top 10 median isn’t a bad benchmark.

Kaisa Mรคkรคrรคinen, Magdalena Neuner and Darya Domracheva had 3 seasons each skiing at least 1.6% faster than the top 10 median. Interestingly, all seasons are from at least 6 years ago. Either the depth of the women’s field has increased a lot in just a couple of years, or there aren’t as many all-time great skiers in today’s field.

Fastest skiers (top 10 median back) | Women’s seasons

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSeason IdDisciplineYearSkiing Top 10 Median BackSki RankSpeed
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesSeason IdDisciplineYearSkiing Top 10 Median BackSki RankSpeed
1MakarainenKaisaFIN
251415NonTeam2015-2.6382.423.01
2NeunerMagdalenaGER
250708NonTeam2008-2.5021.3222.255
3DomrachevaDaryaBLR
261112NonTeam2012-2.4542.34622.385
4DomrachevaDaryaBLR
251415NonTeam2015-2.0642.12522.852
5ZidekAnna CarinSWE
230506NonTeam2006-1.9992.43521.226
6DomrachevaDaryaBLR
241314NonTeam2014-1.891.91722.472
7NeunerMagdalenaGER
251112NonTeam2012-1.822.7222.261
8NeunerMagdalenaGER
211011NonTeam2011-1.7741.95222.14
9MakarainenKaisaFIN
261213NonTeam2013-1.7362.69222.404
10MakarainenKaisaFIN
261112NonTeam2012-1.7352.61522.211
11GoessnerMiriamGER
241213NonTeam2013-1.64.08322.375

Below are the fastest female shooters โ€“ average of all career shooting times (at least 10 races). Unsurprisingly, that list is dominated by current athletes, as shooting speed have increased considerably over the last decade. Julia Simon tops this ranking with a average 25.5s shooting time in her 80 career races to date.

Fastest shooters (below 27 sec) | Women’s career data

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationFirst YearLast YearRacesDisciplineTotal Shooting TimeTotal PercentRaces
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationFirst YearLast YearRacesDisciplineTotal Shooting TimeTotal PercentRaces
1SimonJuliaFRA
2017202180NonTeam25.47877.85780
2CadurischIreneSUI
2012202168NonTeam25.88879.04468
3KummerLuiseGER
2014201622NonTeam26.3587.04522
4MerkushynaAnastasiyaUKR
2015202176NonTeam26.51584.73776
5BankesMeganCAN
2017202143NonTeam26.62974.3943
6WiererDorotheaITA
20092021238NonTeam26.71985.506238
7GhilenkoAllaMDA
2017202136NonTeam26.82479.54536
8PojeUrskaSLO
2014202036NonTeam26.86884.58336

Posted in Website updates | Tagged Data

Major database update

Posted on 2021-06-06 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Major database update

The off-season has been the perfect opportunity to update the real biathlon database with race data of IBU Cup and Youth/Junior level events of the last two decades. You can now look up all second/third tier race results and statistics that are available in the IBU Datacenter on this website’s race pages โ€“ use the “Level” selection to change from “World” to “IBU” and “Y/J” level.

Almost all races since 2001โ€“02 have detailed Loop Times (Course Times, Shooting Times, Range Times, etc.) which are available thanks to the IBU “Competition Analysis” PDF documents. Races since 2016โ€“17 also include split times and target images/shot intervals. Patrons can access all race data through their MongoDB Atlas database access.

The chart shows how the number of World Cup level races evolved over time. From 1958 to 1977 the highest level consisted of mainly World Championship and Olympic races (1-3 per season). The first World Cup season in 1977โ€“78 had a total of 15 events. That number rose to 43 in 1989โ€“90 and 64 per season in 1999โ€“00. Last winter set a new record with a total of 70 events.

Unfortunately, the data for IBU Cups and Junior World Championships is still incomplete. A second-tier competition, then called European Cup, has been held since 1982โ€“83, however, the IBU data only goes back as far as 1998โ€“99; detailed race results before that might be lost.

Junior World Championships exist since 1967, however, the earliest edition with IBU data is the 1997 event in Forni Avoltri (ITA). A detailed list of junior medals winners is available on the German Wikipedia (that page doesn’t cite any sources though).

In total, the real biathlon database currently holds information of 3904 races:

The next step will be to integrate this new data into all tables and data available on this website, starting with the Athletes data. Right now, you will find nothing if you click on a name of an athlete who has never appeared in a World Cup race. This will probably still take some time, because the overall data size doubled with these new race files and there is no point doing this hastily โ€“ it has to be implemented somewhat efficiently in order to quickly update all data after each new race during the season.

Posted in Website updates | Tagged Data

Latest website features

Posted on 2021-04-16 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Latest website features

With the season behind us, I thought it would be a good idea to summarize the updates and new features I added to the website over the last 2-3 months. Most of them are a little hidden and not everyone will immediately see them or even be aware they are available. It’s probably useful to give a quick overview.

Histograms

I added histograms for all athlete and team pages (which previously only had line chart or box plot visualizations). I think it’s an interesting addition, particularly for shooting percentages, or to give a better overview of shooting pace and skiing speed distributions. Just like line charts, you can directly compare two athletes.

Aย histogram is an approximate representation of the distribution of numerical data. In aย histogram, each bar groups numbers into ranges. Taller bars show that more data falls in that range. Aย histogramย displays the shape and spread of continuous sample data.

Examples:

  • Shooting percentage distribution 2020โ€“21: Sturla Holm Lรฆgreid
  • Ski speed comparison: Hanna ร–berg vs. Tiril Eckhoff

Ski Speed per Loop

Some athletes seem to get faster over the course of a race, while others appear to tire more quickly than the field. To quantify this a little better and find out who has particularly strong final laps, I calculated the ski speed (back from top 30 median) for each of the 3/5 ski loops. You can visualize them either as box plots or line charts (for overall career, per season, per discipline, etc).

Examples:

  • Box Plots for each Ski Loop: Dorothea Wierer
  • Box plots for Teams: Austria Mixed

Examples:

  • Line charts per Race: Comparison Dorothea Wierer vs. Hanna ร–berg
  • Line chart per Season: Johannes Thingnes Bรธ

Head-to-head comparison

For all races, you can now compare two athletes directly. All time data (course times, shooting times, range times, etc.) is visualized through a diverging bar chart, while some other data (shooting intervals, hits/misses) are shown side by side in a table.

Examples:

  • Head-to-head comparison: Johannes Thingnes Bรธ vs. Sturla Holm Lรฆgreid
  • Head-to-head team comparison: Norway vs. Germany

Video links

All race pages (since 2010โ€“11) now have direct links to the Eurovision Sports website which hosts the official IBU videos. If available, the links usual include race replay, press conference, highlights and zeroing. For Olympic races, I linked videos from Olympic.org.

Bonus content for patrons

  • New data set of World Cup prize money: For all seasons since 2003โ€“04, as well as cumulative all-time biathlon prize money data (since 2004).
  • Improved Comparison page: You can now compare stats not only season-to-season, but also by World Cup trimesters within a season. For example: This season’s ski speed changes January to March
  • Stats for each World Cup venue: You can look up all podium finishers, shooting results, shooting times and skiing stats for each World Cup location. I also added weather info for each race. Most data can be visualized.
Posted in Website updates | Tagged Data subscription, data visualization

Shooting Efficiency: 2019โ€“20 vs. 2020โ€“21

Posted on 2021-03-30 | by real biathlon | Leave a Comment on Shooting Efficiency: 2019โ€“20 vs. 2020โ€“21

After examining changes in skiing speed, let’s also look at a comparison of overall shooting quality between the 2019โ€“20 and the 2020โ€“21 seasons for all regular Biathlon World Cup athletes. To do that, I came up with the concept of Shooting Efficiency, an attempt to combine shooting accuracy and shooting time into one metric. For more details how it’s calculated, see here.

If you can’t find a specific athlete, you can look up the complete World Cup field (also available per trimester) for latest season (as well as all previous seasons) here:

  • 2020โ€“21 Shooting Efficiency: Men | Women

Note: Only athletes with at least 4 non-team races last season and 16 non-team races this winter are included in the tables below. Shooting Efficiency is an overall shooting score, combining shooting accuracy and shooting time. It is the theoretical average time an athlete loses through shooting (based on hit rate, range time and potential penalty loops). For more details, see here.


Men

Lukas Hofer improved his non-team hit rate by 7.1% and managed his quickest shooting times (avg. 29.1s) since the 2009โ€“10 season โ€“ which makes him the most improved among regular starters in the men’s field. The overall most efficient shooter, Simon Eder, also improved significantly over last season: he set his career best hit rate (93.3%) and his average theoretical time loss of 1:48.9 is the fastest ever for this Shooting Efficiency score.

If you have been wondering why Johannes Thingnes Bรธ had to fight so hard to defend his title (despite being close to his best ever ski speed), this stat gives the answer: in a sprint he loses the time equivalent of almost an entire additional penalty loop (roughly 2 penalty loops in pursuits/mass starts) compared to last winter (-6.9% hit rate). Sturla Holm Lรฆgreid was the overall 2nd best shooter, thanks to outstanding hit rate (92.6%) and great range times (46.8s). Interestingly, Lรฆgreid’s range time is faster than Eder’s, even though Eder’s shooting time is 0.6s better; apparently Lรฆgreid’s shooting preparation is close to one second quicker.

Changes in Shooting Efficiency | 2019โ€“20 vs. 2020โ€“21

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesHit RateRange TimePenalty LoopTime Loss
Sprint
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesHit RateRange TimePenalty LoopTime Loss
Sprint
Change
1HoferLukasITA
2684.2948.820.22:09.3-20.2
2SimaMichalSVK
1684.0950.422.92:17.1-17.9
3PonsiluomaMartinSWE
2679.5247.521.62:19.3-16.1
4SamuelssonSebastianSWE
2687.1449.521.22:06.2-14.3
5EderSimonAUT
2693.3347.022.31:48.9-12.1
6GowChristianCAN
2187.5048.422.02:04.3-12.0
7WegerBenjaminSUI
2486.8450.222.32:09.7-10.9
8LesserErikGER
2386.9448.122.02:04.8-9.9
9NordgrenLeifUSA
1785.4250.323.12:14.2-9.5
10GowScottCAN
1982.8646.823.02:12.9-9.4
11EliseevMatveyRUS
2589.0046.722.11:57.7-9.4
12LatypovEduardRUS
2582.7550.621.82:18.9-9.3
13RastorgujevsAndrejsLAT
1980.3350.521.42:23.2-5.9
14DovzanMihaSLO
2088.0046.022.91:59.5-5.6
15VarabeiMaksimBLR
2078.3354.822.42:38.3-4.9
16HarjulaTuomasFIN
1786.9650.422.22:09.7-3.9
17KrcmarMichalCZE
2086.5650.321.72:09.7-3.9
18FemlingPeppeSWE
2182.8147.822.82:14.9-3.5
19LeitnerFelixAUT
2385.0053.122.22:19.5-2.6
20LangerThierryBEL
1881.1553.922.82:30.6-2.0
21FakJakovSLO
2690.7147.921.71:55.9-1.8
22SeppalaTeroFIN
2179.6951.121.62:26.2-1.0
23IlievVladimirBUL
1775.6051.022.02:35.5-0.8
24WindischDominikITA
1976.5550.121.12:29.6-0.6
25ClaudeFabienFRA
2579.0048.421.32:21.5-0.0
26BocharnikovSergeyBLR
2282.9450.824.32:23.0+0.1
27KomatzDavidAUT
2290.5953.921.72:08.2+0.7
28ClaudeFlorentBEL
1985.3654.022.22:20.5+0.8
29DohertySeanUSA
1982.1449.322.22:18.3+1.1
30DollBenediktGER
2681.4348.321.92:17.1+1.4
31Fillon MailletQuentinFRA
2587.2546.622.92:02.5+1.7
32JacquelinEmilienFRA
2687.3846.921.12:00.4+2.2
33BoeTarjeiNOR
2685.7149.920.32:08.8+2.3
34StroliaVytautasLTU
1678.1853.122.72:35.6+2.8
35PeifferArndGER
2187.9448.721.42:03.1+3.1
36BormoliniThomasITA
1884.0749.722.12:14.5+3.2
37PrymaArtemUKR
1982.8648.223.12:16.0+3.5
38DesthieuxSimonFRA
2685.2447.821.42:07.1+3.6
39DombrovskiKarolLTU
1786.2553.423.12:18.5+3.8
40ChristiansenVetle SjaastadNOR
2286.0050.421.12:10.4+4.4
41DaleJohannesNOR
2683.8152.021.62:18.9+4.7
42GaranichevEvgeniyRUS
1886.5549.823.42:11.2+4.8
43SmolskiAntonBLR
2280.5950.822.22:24.6+5.1
44LaegreidSturla HolmNOR
2692.6246.821.21:49.2+5.3
45GuigonnatAntoninFRA
2581.7549.121.92:18.2+6.6
46MoravecOndrejCZE
1886.0748.722.62:08.8+9.5
47PidruchnyiDmytroUKR
2280.5947.022.82:18.2+10.6
48TrsanRokSLO
1885.1947.823.32:10.2+11.5
49LoginovAlexanderRUS
2486.3249.022.42:08.6+12.0
50NelinJesperSWE
2374.0552.021.72:40.4+13.0
51BrownJakeUSA
1776.0055.030.53:03.1+14.0
52FinelloJeremySUI
1970.3650.422.22:46.6+14.2
53StvrteckyJakubCZE
1971.4356.221.72:54.5+15.1
54KuehnJohannesGER
1675.0053.921.22:40.7+15.2
55BoeJohannes T.NOR
2685.2448.821.12:08.7+18.2


Women

Janina Hettich was the most improved shooter on the women’s side. In her 9 races in 2019โ€“20, she had only managed to hit 70.9% of her targets โ€“ she was 17.7% better this winter. Dzinara Alimbekava wasn’t just the most improved skier, she was also the 2nd-best in terms of shooting improvements (further highlighting her incredible breakout year). Karoline Offigstad Knotten and Dorothea Wierer were the overall most efficient female shooters; they did however lose roughly 20s more on the range compared to Eder/Lรฆgreid (maybe 4-5s of that is down to skiing, the rest is due to slower and less accurate shooting).

Overall World Cup winner, Tiril Eckhoff, improved her shooting somewhat, thanks to a slightly higher hit rate (+1.4%) and a lower shooting time (-1.8s). In general, Eckhoffโ€™s performance stats, in terms of neither skiing nor shooting, improved dramatically; however, her Overall Performance Score nudged 0.1 higher (even with two horrendous races at the season opener). Hanna ร–berg‘s shooting closely followed her skiing form: she was the top shooter in trimester 1 (90.0% hit rate), but it completely fell apart by the end of the season (trimester 3 hit rate: 70.9%).

Changes in Shooting Efficiency | 2019โ€“20 vs. 2020โ€“21

NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesHit RateRange TimePenalty LoopTime Loss
Sprint
Change
NoFamily NameGiven NameNationRacesHit RateRange TimePenalty LoopTime Loss
Sprint
Change
1HettichJaninaGER
2488.6154.525.22:17.8-38.9
2AlimbekavaDzinaraBLR
2683.8153.025.12:26.7-28.1
3HaeckiLenaSUI
2179.6947.425.42:26.5-20.1
4MinkkinenSuviFIN
1883.8551.225.92:24.2-15.4
5ZdoucDunjaAUT
2588.7553.524.22:14.2-15.2
6ZukKamilaPOL
1777.2057.225.02:51.5-14.2
7MironovaSvetlanaRUS
2277.9451.223.92:35.1-13.7
8OebergElviraSWE
2582.2550.924.72:25.7-13.5
9HammerschmidtMarenGER
1786.9249.525.92:12.9-13.4
10KnottenKaroline O.NOR
2389.1750.325.72:08.4-13.3
11DavidovaMarketaCZE
2582.7554.023.82:29.1-11.8
12DunkleeSusanUSA
1979.6453.426.32:40.2-9.7
13HinzVanessaGER
2287.0653.324.92:18.8-8.0
14TachizakiFuyukoJPN
1882.3156.725.62:38.8-7.9
15KruchinkinaElenaBLR
2377.2258.825.22:55.0-7.1
16EderMariFIN
1777.0858.824.82:54.3-6.7
17EckhoffTirilNOR
2684.5251.023.02:17.6-6.5
18HerrmannDeniseGER
2581.5052.624.12:29.7-6.3
19SchwaigerJuliaAUT
1984.6454.625.22:27.9-6.1
20LunderEmmaCAN
2285.8849.824.92:14.7-5.0
21Braisaz-BouchetJustineFRA
2676.6753.623.32:41.7-4.1
22CadurischIreneSUI
1679.5748.324.82:27.3-3.9
23GasparinSelinaSUI
1977.5054.623.62:42.2-3.8
24WiererDorotheaITA
2686.9049.023.92:09.3-3.7
25PidhrushnaOlenaUKR
1882.9653.126.02:30.3-3.0
26BrorssonMonaSWE
2284.4153.724.92:26.4-2.0
27DzhimaYuliiaUKR
2186.5652.024.82:17.4-1.9
28Hojnisz-StaregaMonikaPOL
1687.2052.924.62:17.3-1.7
29KuklinaLarisaRUS
1684.0049.424.92:18.7-0.7
30GasparinElisaSUI
2180.9452.024.92:31.4+0.2
31SolaHannaBLR
2370.2749.924.22:51.7+0.2
32PuskarcikovaEvaCZE
1882.6950.426.22:26.1+0.8
33TalihaermJohannaEST
1880.7756.926.12:43.9+1.3
34PerssonLinnSWE
2683.8153.123.92:24.9+2.1
35RoeiselandMarte OlsbuNOR
2685.0050.524.22:17.3+2.1
36TandrevoldIngrid L.NOR
2583.0854.824.12:30.4+2.5
37HauserLisa TheresaAUT
2685.0050.923.02:16.4+4.9
38BescondAnaisFRA
2683.1056.624.22:34.0+5.1
39MaedaSariJPN
1671.8256.625.73:05.8+6.3
40OebergHannaSWE
2684.5248.224.22:13.8+6.7
41GasparinAitaSUI
1983.5751.025.92:24.6+7.3
42VittozziLisaITA
2578.0051.524.42:36.8+8.4
43JislovaJessicaCZE
1777.0856.325.32:50.5+8.8
44EganClareUSA
2381.6757.724.32:40.0+8.9
45PreussFranziskaGER
2686.4350.523.42:12.7+9.7
46SimonJuliaFRA
2675.5048.024.52:36.0+11.0
47BendikaBaibaLAT
1676.6750.524.82:39.0+11.1
48TodorovaMilenaBUL
1976.9056.424.82:50.0+12.2
49CharvatovaLucieCZE
1765.9151.623.13:02.1+12.4
50LieLotteBEL
1890.0055.226.22:16.7+13.5
51BlashkoDaryaUKR
2087.7452.725.02:16.1+14.3
52ChevalierChloeFRA
1878.1557.724.32:48.4+16.3
53InnerhoferKatharinaAUT
1766.6754.424.13:09.2+22.9

Posted in Statistical analysis | Tagged shooting

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