{"id":2241,"date":"2022-02-04T00:06:26","date_gmt":"2022-02-03T23:06:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/?p=2241"},"modified":"2022-02-04T15:45:02","modified_gmt":"2022-02-04T14:45:02","slug":"olympic-mixed-relay-projection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/2022\/02\/04\/olympic-mixed-relay-projection\/","title":{"rendered":"Olympic Mixed Relay Projection"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n

Who are the favorites for the opening biathlon event at 2022 Winter Olympics? Here are the overall relay performances scores for the top 10 nations in the Mixed Nations Cup score (team performances this season). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Note: The scores are standard scores<\/a> (or z-scores), indicating how many standard deviations (SD) an athlete is back from the World Cup mean (negative values indicate performances better than the mean). The Total Performance Score<\/a> is calculated by approximating the importance of skiing, hit rate and shooting pace using the method of least squares<\/a> (for more details, see here<\/a> and here<\/a>), and then weighting each z-score value accordingly.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Norway<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -1.16<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div><\/div>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1<\/td>Roeiseland<\/td>Marte Olsbu<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>4.0<\/td>46.3<\/td>-1.35<\/td>-1.24<\/td>-1.86<\/td>-1.53<\/td><\/tr>
1<\/td>Eckhoff<\/a><\/td>Tiril<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>4.0<\/td>46.3<\/td>-1.52<\/td>0.05<\/td>0.57<\/td>-0.54<\/td><\/tr>
1<\/td>Boe<\/a><\/td>Tarjei<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>1.0<\/td>60.0<\/td>-1.06<\/td>-1.06<\/td>-0.77<\/td>-0.95<\/td><\/tr>
1<\/td>Boe<\/a><\/td>Johannes T.<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>1.0<\/td>60.0<\/td>-1.93<\/td>-1.59<\/td>-1.17<\/td>-1.60<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

France \u2013 <\/strong>Average Performance Score: -1.06<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
2<\/td>Chevalier-Bouchet<\/a><\/td>Anais<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>4.0<\/td>49.5<\/td>-1.28<\/td>0.44<\/td>-1.66<\/td>-1.22<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Simon<\/a><\/td>Julia<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>1.7<\/td>56.0<\/td>-1.26<\/td>-0.37<\/td>-1.07<\/td>-1.08<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Jacquelin<\/a><\/td>Emilien<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>3.0<\/td>49.3<\/td>-1.20<\/td>-0.41<\/td>0.27<\/td>-0.55<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Fillon Maillet<\/a><\/td>Quentin<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>3.0<\/td>49.3<\/td>-1.49<\/td>-1.47<\/td>-1.24<\/td>-1.39<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belarus<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.95<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div><\/div>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
3<\/td>Alimbekava<\/a><\/td>Dzinara<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>5.5<\/td>44.0<\/td>-1.23<\/td>-1.24<\/td>-1.71<\/td>-1.41<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Sola<\/a><\/td>Hanna<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>6.2<\/td>41.6<\/td>-1.46<\/td>0.42<\/td>0.50<\/td>-0.49<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Labastau<\/td>Mikita<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>5.8<\/td>42.3<\/td>-0.88<\/td>-0.74<\/td>-1.15<\/td>-0.96<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Smolski<\/a><\/td>Anton<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>5.8<\/td>41.4<\/td>-1.09<\/td>-0.96<\/td>-0.72<\/td>-0.94<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Germany<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.87<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div><\/div>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
4<\/td>Voigt<\/td>Vanessa<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>4.8<\/td>41.0<\/td>-0.71<\/td>-1.04<\/td>-0.69<\/td>-0.74<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Herrmann<\/a><\/td>Denise<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>4.3<\/td>42.0<\/td>-1.61<\/td>-0.19<\/td>0.56<\/td>-0.62<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Doll<\/td>Benedikt<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>4.0<\/td>45.0<\/td>-1.17<\/td>-0.59<\/td>-0.42<\/td>-0.81<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Nawrath<\/td>Philipp<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>3.3<\/td>46.7<\/td>-1.35<\/td>-1.23<\/td>-1.28<\/td>-1.31<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sweden<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.78<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
5<\/td>Oeberg<\/a><\/td>Hanna<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>2.7<\/td>50.3<\/td>-1.26<\/td>0.75<\/td>0.20<\/td>-0.47<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Oeberg<\/a><\/td>Elvira<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>2.7<\/td>50.3<\/td>-2.19<\/td>-0.57<\/td>-0.49<\/td>-1.35<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Ponsiluoma<\/td>Martin<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>6.0<\/td>38.3<\/td>-1.37<\/td>-0.74<\/td>-0.43<\/td>-0.94<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Samuelsson<\/a><\/td>Sebastian<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>6.0<\/td>38.3<\/td>-0.86<\/td>0.27<\/td>0.12<\/td>-0.35<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ROC<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.74<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
6<\/td>Nigmatullina<\/td>Uliana<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>4.0<\/td>47.3<\/td>-0.63<\/td>-0.37<\/td>0.08<\/td>-0.33<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Reztsova<\/a><\/td>Kristina<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>3.2<\/td>50.0<\/td>-1.30<\/td>-0.35<\/td>-1.28<\/td>-1.18<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Loginov<\/a><\/td>Alexandr<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>2.3<\/td>52.5<\/td>-1.55<\/td>-0.45<\/td>-0.25<\/td>-0.93<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Latypov<\/td>Eduard<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>2.7<\/td>50.0<\/td>-1.53<\/td>0.52<\/td>0.47<\/td>-0.53<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Italy<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.64<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
7<\/td>Vittozzi<\/a><\/td>Lisa<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>7.2<\/td>36.6<\/td>-0.82<\/td>-0.57<\/td>-1.62<\/td>-1.09<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Wierer<\/a><\/td>Dorothea<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>5.8<\/td>38.8<\/td>-0.72<\/td>0.41<\/td>0.54<\/td>-0.11<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Bormolini<\/a><\/td>Thomas<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>7.4<\/td>35.6<\/td>-0.96<\/td>0.04<\/td>0.13<\/td>-0.42<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Hofer<\/td>Lukas<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>6.7<\/td>37.0<\/td>-0.79<\/td>-1.01<\/td>-1.11<\/td>-0.94<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine <\/strong>\u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.53<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
8<\/td>Semerenko<\/td>Valentina<\/td>UKR
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>10.0<\/td>31.0<\/td>-0.23<\/td>-0.37<\/td>-0.32<\/td>-0.28<\/td><\/tr>
8<\/td>Dzhima<\/td>Yuliia<\/td>UKR
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>8.5<\/td>33.5<\/td>-0.74<\/td>0.36<\/td>0.13<\/td>-0.28<\/td><\/tr>
8<\/td>Pryma<\/a><\/td>Artem<\/td>UKR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>6.8<\/td>36.6<\/td>-0.30<\/td>-0.48<\/td>-0.75<\/td>-0.50<\/td><\/tr>
8<\/td>Pidruchnyi<\/a><\/td>Dmytro<\/td>UKR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>6.8<\/td>36.6<\/td>-0.91<\/td>-0.96<\/td>-1.29<\/td>-1.06<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/strong>Czech Republic<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.43<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div><\/div>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
9<\/td>Jislova<\/a><\/td>Jessica<\/td>CZE
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>9.0<\/td>33.2<\/td>-0.46<\/td>-0.96<\/td>-0.88<\/td>-0.68<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/td>Davidova<\/a><\/td>Marketa<\/td>CZE
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>9.0<\/td>33.2<\/td>-1.13<\/td>-0.22<\/td>0.50<\/td>-0.40<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/td>Karlik<\/td>Mikulas<\/td>CZE
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>13.3<\/td>27.8<\/td>-0.64<\/td>0.45<\/td>1.05<\/td>0.13<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/td>Krcmar<\/td>Michal<\/td>CZE
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>11.8<\/td>29.3<\/td>-0.80<\/td>-0.59<\/td>-0.78<\/td>-0.77<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Austria<\/strong> \u2013 Average Performance Score: -0.37<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Points
(avg)<\/th>		Ski Speed
Score<\/th>		Hit Rate
Score<\/th>		Range Time
Score<\/th>		Total
Performance
Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
10<\/td>Schwaiger<\/a><\/td>Julia<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>12.5<\/td>29.3<\/td>-0.16<\/td>-0.28<\/td>0.44<\/td>0.06<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>Hauser<\/a><\/td>Lisa Theresa<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
3<\/td>8.3<\/td>38.7<\/td>-1.03<\/td>0.54<\/td>0.21<\/td>-0.37<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>Eder<\/a><\/td>Simon<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>11.2<\/td>32.8<\/td>-0.54<\/td>-0.58<\/td>-1.09<\/td>-0.76<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>Leitner<\/a><\/td>Felix<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
4<\/td>13.3<\/td>27.8<\/td>-0.59<\/td>-0.42<\/td>-0.15<\/td>-0.40<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Who are the favorites for the opening biathlon event at 2022 Winter Olympics? Overall relay performances scores for the top 10 nations in the Mixed Nations Cup score (team performances this season). <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":2291,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[78],"class_list":["post-2241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-statistical-analysis","tag-2022-winter-olympics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2241"}],"version-history":[{"count":47,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2241\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2293,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2241\/revisions\/2293"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2291"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}