{"id":1446,"date":"2021-01-28T12:25:16","date_gmt":"2021-01-28T11:25:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/?p=1446"},"modified":"2021-01-28T14:57:41","modified_gmt":"2021-01-28T13:57:41","slug":"ski-speed-first-vs-second-trimester","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/2021\/01\/28\/ski-speed-first-vs-second-trimester\/","title":{"rendered":"Ski speed \u2013 First vs. second trimester"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The season is already more than halfway over. Who managed to improve their ski form during the winter? In this post, I looked at changes in ski speed for World Cup trimester 1 compared to World Cup trimester 2 (November\/December 2020 vs. January 2021). For patrons, I recently updated the comparisons<\/a> bonus section \u2013 there you can compare all shooting and skiing stats on your own, not only season-to-season, but also by trimester now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Note: Only athletes with at least 5 non-team races in trimester 1 and trimester 2 of the current season are included in the tables. “Back from Top30 median” is the percentage back from each race’s top 30 median Course Time (arithmetic mean per trimester).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Men<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Surprise podium finisher Felix Leitner<\/a> managed to improve his ski speed by roughly 1.3% compared to pre-Christmas races. Lukas Hofer<\/a> improved by virtually the same amount, although he did so on a much higher level (he was the fourth-fastest skier overall<\/a> for trimester 2). A lot has been made about Johannes Thingnes B\u00f8<\/a> not dominating as he did in previous seasons, however, his ski speed certainly isn’t to blame; he set the top course time in 5 out of 6 races in January!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jakov Fak<\/a> had a great start to his season (four top 10s in a row), but his ski speed is now trending in the wrong direction before the upcoming world championships in Pokljuka. Sebastian Samuelsson<\/a>‘s speed has declined 1.4% post-Christmas, his average ski rank is 10.9 positions lower. Fabien Claude<\/a> isn’t doing much better, he also has a ski rank now roughly ten places lower compared to World Cup trimester 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Changes in Ski Speed World Cup Trimester 1<\/strong> vs. World Cup Trimester 2<\/strong> | 2020\u201321 season<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Ski Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Change<\/th>back from
Top30 median
(in %)<\/th>		Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Ski Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Change<\/th>back from
Top30 median
(in %)<\/th>		Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1<\/td>Leitner<\/a><\/td>Felix<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>19.8<\/td>-16.6<\/td>+0.71<\/td>-1.29<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Hofer<\/a><\/td>Lukas<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>6.2<\/td>-7.2<\/td>-1.51<\/td>-1.26<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Guigonnat<\/a><\/td>Antonin<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>20.0<\/td>-11.0<\/td>+0.44<\/td>-1.16<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Eliseev<\/a><\/td>Matvey<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>18.8<\/td>-17.0<\/td>+1.07<\/td>-1.07<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Doll<\/a><\/td>Benedikt<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>12.5<\/td>-3.5<\/td>-0.92<\/td>-0.92<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Finello<\/a><\/td>Jeremy<\/td>SUI
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>18.4<\/td>-9.2<\/td>+0.26<\/td>-0.90<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Peiffer<\/a><\/td>Arnd<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>11.5<\/td>-6.5<\/td>-0.73<\/td>-0.90<\/td><\/tr>
8<\/td>Boe<\/a><\/td>Johannes Thingnes<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>1.3<\/td>-1.1<\/td>-3.36<\/td>-0.70<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/td>Desthieux<\/a><\/td>Simon<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>14.7<\/td>-4.9<\/td>-0.15<\/td>-0.60<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>Eder<\/a><\/td>Simon<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>34.0<\/td>-5.2<\/td>+2.04<\/td>-0.54<\/td><\/tr>
11<\/td>Fillon Maillet<\/a><\/td>Quentin<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>8.6<\/td>-2.4<\/td>-1.11<\/td>-0.47<\/td><\/tr>
12<\/td>Laegreid<\/a><\/td>Sturla Holm<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>9.7<\/td>-3.9<\/td>-0.95<\/td>-0.41<\/td><\/tr>
13<\/td>Komatz<\/a><\/td>David<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>40.8<\/td>-5.6<\/td>+3.18<\/td>-0.37<\/td><\/tr>
14<\/td>Latypov<\/a><\/td>Eduard<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>16.2<\/td>-2.7<\/td>+0.18<\/td>-0.23<\/td><\/tr>
15<\/td>Dale<\/a><\/td>Johannes<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>3.0<\/td>-3.1<\/td>-1.99<\/td>-0.02<\/td><\/tr>
16<\/td>Jacquelin<\/a><\/td>Emilien<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>10.5<\/td>+0.3<\/td>-0.71<\/td>+0.10<\/td><\/tr>
17<\/td>Boe<\/a><\/td>Tarjei<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>6.0<\/td>+1.4<\/td>-1.55<\/td>+0.23<\/td><\/tr>
18<\/td>Fak<\/a><\/td>Jakov<\/td>SLO
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>23.2<\/td>+3.2<\/td>+0.71<\/td>+0.25<\/td><\/tr>
19<\/td>Ponsiluoma<\/a><\/td>Martin<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>7.8<\/td>+2.2<\/td>-1.40<\/td>+0.27<\/td><\/tr>
20<\/td>Rastorgujevs<\/a><\/td>Andrejs<\/td>LAT
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>22.8<\/td>+2.2<\/td>+0.82<\/td>+0.32<\/td><\/tr>
21<\/td>Lesser<\/a><\/td>Erik<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>21.5<\/td>+2.8<\/td>+0.70<\/td>+0.34<\/td><\/tr>
22<\/td>Weger<\/a><\/td>Benjamin<\/td>SUI
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>24.8<\/td>+4.6<\/td>+0.98<\/td>+0.39<\/td><\/tr>
23<\/td>Femling<\/a><\/td>Peppe<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>42.2<\/td>-9.7<\/td>+4.06<\/td>+0.41<\/td><\/tr>
24<\/td>Bionaz<\/a><\/td>Didier<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>44.6<\/td>+0.2<\/td>+3.65<\/td>+0.45<\/td><\/tr>
25<\/td>Christiansen<\/a><\/td>Vetle Sjaastad<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>18.2<\/td>+4.9<\/td>+0.11<\/td>+0.74<\/td><\/tr>
26<\/td>Loginov<\/a><\/td>Alexander<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>21.2<\/td>+7.5<\/td>+0.52<\/td>+0.77<\/td><\/tr>
27<\/td>Bocharnikov<\/a><\/td>Sergey<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>32.6<\/td>+5.1<\/td>+1.98<\/td>+0.92<\/td><\/tr>
28<\/td>Claude<\/a><\/td>Fabien<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>19.8<\/td>+9.6<\/td>+0.39<\/td>+1.07<\/td><\/tr>
29<\/td>Samuelsson<\/a><\/td>Sebastian<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>19.2<\/td>+10.9<\/td>+0.26<\/td>+1.39<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Women<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Elena Kruchinkina<\/a>, who set the fastest course time in the first Oberhof sprint<\/a> (before that she never had a top 3 course time), is the most improved skier among regular female starters: 2.4% faster compared to December and her average ski rank is now 16.5 positions lower. Yuliia Dzhima<\/a> and Svetlana Mironova<\/a> come second and third, skiing 2.0% and 1.6% faster respectively. Two-time winner Julia Simon<\/a> improved almost as much percentage-wise, but more importantly, she was the fourth-fastest skier in January<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Monika Hojnisz-Star\u0119ga<\/a> is missing here, because she only appeared in three races in January, however, she would have topped the ranking, 3.4% faster than in trimester 1. Dorothea Wierer<\/a>‘s skiing has improved slightly, but her average ski rank in January (16.8) is still way behind her average from last season (10.0). Elvira \u00d6berg<\/a> and Mona Brorsson<\/a> have been struggling in recent races, both roughly 3% slower in January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Changes in Ski Speed World Cup Trimester 1<\/strong> vs. World Cup Trimester 2<\/strong> | 2020\u201321 season<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Ski Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Change<\/th>back from
Top30 median
(in %)<\/th>		Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
No<\/th>Family Name<\/th>Given Name<\/th>Nation<\/th>Races<\/th>Ski Rank
(avg)<\/th>		Change<\/th>back from
Top30 median
(in %)<\/th>		Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1<\/td>Kruchinkina<\/a><\/td>Elena<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>10.2<\/td>-16.5<\/td>-0.84<\/td>-2.39<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Dzhima<\/a><\/td>Yuliia<\/td>UKR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>23.0<\/td>-18.6<\/td>+0.81<\/td>-1.96<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Mironova<\/a><\/td>Svetlana<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>12.2<\/td>-13.3<\/td>-0.57<\/td>-1.59<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Simon<\/a><\/td>Julia<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>6.5<\/td>-12.8<\/td>-1.57<\/td>-1.42<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Hettich<\/a><\/td>Janina<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>27.5<\/td>-15.3<\/td>+1.62<\/td>-1.32<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Hinz<\/a><\/td>Vanessa<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>30.8<\/td>-14.2<\/td>+1.88<\/td>-1.15<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Kaisheva<\/a><\/td>Uliana<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>25.8<\/td>-13.3<\/td>+1.55<\/td>-1.02<\/td><\/tr>
8<\/td>Vittozzi<\/a><\/td>Lisa<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>21.2<\/td>-10.2<\/td>+0.95<\/td>-0.88<\/td><\/tr>
9<\/td>Herrmann<\/a><\/td>Denise<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>4.2<\/td>-4.2<\/td>-1.90<\/td>-0.65<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>Zdouc<\/a><\/td>Dunja<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>36.2<\/td>-15.4<\/td>+3.16<\/td>-0.55<\/td><\/tr>
11<\/td>Wierer<\/a><\/td>Dorothea<\/td>ITA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>16.8<\/td>-4.3<\/td>+0.11<\/td>-0.49<\/td><\/tr>
12<\/td>Eckhoff<\/a><\/td>Tiril<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>2.3<\/td>-3.2<\/td>-2.38<\/td>-0.44<\/td><\/tr>
13<\/td>Hauser<\/a><\/td>Lisa Theresa<\/td>AUT
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>10.5<\/td>-2.2<\/td>-0.76<\/td>-0.39<\/td><\/tr>
14<\/td>Pavlova<\/a><\/td>Evgeniya<\/td>RUS
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>24.4<\/td>-5.1<\/td>+1.09<\/td>-0.35<\/td><\/tr>
15<\/td>Roeiseland<\/a><\/td>Marte Olsbu<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>2.8<\/td>-1.7<\/td>-2.24<\/td>-0.28<\/td><\/tr>
16<\/td>Davidova<\/a><\/td>Marketa<\/td>CZE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>6.5<\/td>-0.4<\/td>-1.29<\/td>+0.14<\/td><\/tr>
17<\/td>Preuss<\/a><\/td>Franziska<\/td>GER
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>12.7<\/td>+0.6<\/td>-0.39<\/td>+0.17<\/td><\/tr>
18<\/td>Lunder<\/a><\/td>Emma<\/td>CAN
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>35.8<\/td>-1.3<\/td>+2.59<\/td>+0.18<\/td><\/tr>
19<\/td>Bescond<\/a><\/td>Anais<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>19.0<\/td>+3.0<\/td>+0.34<\/td>+0.18<\/td><\/tr>
20<\/td>Persson<\/a><\/td>Linn<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>23.3<\/td>+4.0<\/td>+0.68<\/td>+0.35<\/td><\/tr>
21<\/td>Alimbekava<\/a><\/td>Dzinara<\/td>BLR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>15.7<\/td>+1.4<\/td>+0.12<\/td>+0.46<\/td><\/tr>
22<\/td>Braisaz-Bouchet<\/a><\/td>Justine<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>7.8<\/td>+2.1<\/td>-1.03<\/td>+0.59<\/td><\/tr>
23<\/td>Oeberg<\/a><\/td>Hanna<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>16.7<\/td>+4.7<\/td>-0.09<\/td>+0.62<\/td><\/tr>
24<\/td>Chevalier-Bouchet<\/a><\/td>Anais<\/td>FRA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>13.2<\/td>+5.7<\/td>+0.08<\/td>+1.23<\/td><\/tr>
25<\/td>Tandrevold<\/a><\/td>Ingrid Landmark<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>20.0<\/td>+12.9<\/td>+0.58<\/td>+1.86<\/td><\/tr>
26<\/td>Egan<\/a><\/td>Clare<\/td>USA
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>34.7<\/td>+6.6<\/td>+3.12<\/td>+1.88<\/td><\/tr>
27<\/td>Knotten<\/a><\/td>Karoline Offigstad<\/td>NOR
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>47.3<\/td>+14.4<\/td>+4.56<\/td>+2.67<\/td><\/tr>
28<\/td>Oeberg<\/a><\/td>Elvira<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
6<\/td>24.5<\/td>+17.8<\/td>+1.25<\/td>+2.89<\/td><\/tr>
29<\/td>Brorsson<\/a><\/td>Mona<\/td>SWE
<\/div><\/td>
5<\/td>46.6<\/td>+17.7<\/td>+4.72<\/td>+3.17<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, the Swedes arguably stand out the most, doing particularly poorly after Christmas \u2013 all of their regular starters declined in the new year (often by a lot). Alternatively, you could look at it the other way around: they simply outperformed, especially in Kontiolahti, and now regressed to a more normal level.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The season is already more than halfway over. Who managed to improve their ski form during the winter? In this post, I looked at changes in ski speed for World Cup trimester 1 compared to World Cup trimester 2 (November\/December 2020 vs. January 2021). <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1480,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[23],"class_list":["post-1446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-statistical-analysis","tag-ski-speed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1446"}],"version-history":[{"count":48,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1754,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446\/revisions\/1754"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1480"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1446"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1446"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realbiathlon.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1446"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}